Published October 31, 2023

"Riding the Waves of Changing Home Prices: 2023 Real Estate Insights"

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Written by Justin Humphries

The real estate market can feel like a rollercoaster, filled with excitement, financial goals, and the occasional dash of anxiety. The ever-changing home prices are at the heart of this emotional journey. However, if you've been hesitating to buy or sell due to fears of falling home prices, it's time to reevaluate. In 2023, the data tells a different story. Home prices are on an upward trajectory, and here's why you shouldn't delay any longer.

1. A Year of Ups and Downs:

The 2022 real estate market began with soaring home prices, as depicted by the prominent green bars on the left side of the graph. These increases were impressive but unsustainable. Consequently, the second half of the year witnessed a correction, marked by modest price dips shown in red. The media's focus on these minor declines generated fear and uncertainty among consumers.

2. The Year 2023 Comeback:

In 2023, home prices are once again rising, but this time at a more sustainable pace. The green bars on the right side of the graph indicate this more typical price appreciation. After the highs and subsequent corrections of 2022, the return to standard price growth is encouraging for the housing market. According to Orphe Divounguy, Senior Economist at Zillow, the housing market rebounded impressively in 2023, with the downturn in the previous year proving to be short-lived.

3. Slower Growth Does Not Mean Decline:

As the year progresses, home price appreciation typically starts to slow down. The risk here is that the media might confuse the deceleration of appreciation with actual home price depreciation. However, it's essential to understand that slower price growth still signifies growth in property values.

4. Supply and Demand Dynamics:

One of the primary reasons for the rebound in home prices is the ongoing imbalance between housing supply and demand. Even as higher mortgage rates dampen buyer demand, they also discourage homeowners from selling their properties. This is due to the "mortgage rate lock-in effect," which means sellers would lose their current low mortgage rates if they purchased a new home at a higher rate. Consequently, the supply of available homes remains limited. As a result, prices continue to rise, as confirmed by Freddie Mac.

5. What It Means for Buyers and Sellers:

  • Buyers: If you've been apprehensive about buying a home due to concerns about falling home prices, the data shows that the market is moving in your favor. Owning a home remains a valuable investment with a history of appreciating over time.

  • Sellers: If you've been holding off on selling your property, the data indicates that the timing might be in your favor. Working with a real estate agent can help you navigate the market effectively.

Conclusion:

The rollercoaster of changing home prices is a hallmark of the real estate market. While 2022 saw dramatic highs and corrections, 2023 is witnessing more typical and sustainable price appreciation. If you've been hesitant due to fears of plummeting home prices, it's time to act. Data shows that prices are increasing across the country. So, work with a local real estate agent who can guide you through this dynamic market and help you make the best decision for your unique situation.

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